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Letter I sent directly to Dr Wayne Jonas as a reply to his
"reply" [I have not been fortunate enough to get a reply
to this letter yet]. It follows below.
Best regards, Renan M Almeida
***
Dec 2003
Dr Jonas,
I have read your reply (Jonas 2003) to my comments in Ann Int Med
(Almeida 2003). I understand that the "letters" section of Ann Int Med
does not provide sufficient space for a full discussion of these
topics.
Below I have some further comments, and I would be interested
in your opinions on them.
1) In summary, in my comments I made the following points:
a) homeopathy uses an absurd classification scheme, as illustrated by
my comment on the Pulsatilla prescription "signs" b) in homeopathy,
papers with better quality yield less positive results (a fact I am
certain that you are well aware of) c) There have been no
independently replicated, quality studies in homeopathy.
Could you please elaborate in what sense the above comments "fail to
assess treatment model validity" and "lead to erroneous research
evaluations"?
2) Concerning my comments on Jacobs et al 1994, the paper you
mentioned (Vickers 2000) did not address important criticisms of it,
namely, the very marginal p-values involved, the careless
recording/reporting of results and the alfa-level inflation by
multiple comparisons. In fact, the main point that Vickers et al 2000
addressed in their "debunking" (as you called it) was that the
peculiar homeopathic classification scheme could only decrease the
significance of results, not increase it. This assertion is in general
correct, but see below (by the way, I did not concern myself with the
first of the three diarrhea papers you mentioned, since admittedly
that was a "pilot" study).
3) Concerning homeopathic classification schemes, the peculiar
"symptoms" that homeopathy uses for "diagnosis" only help to show how
absurd it is. What it seems obvious is that if a classification scheme
is patently invalid it either has to be radically changed, or
abandoned. Thus, the statement that the use of an absurd
classification scheme is not something to worry about, since it could
not improve results, seems to me illogical and erroneous.
Are you aware of any scientifically valid justification for the use of a
classification scheme such as the Pulsatilla example I described?
4) Finally, I apologize for my mistake in attributing a US$ 50 000
0000 figure for the amount the NCCAM had available for CAM research. I
realize now that the amount is much smaller, a mere US 25 000 000
maybe?
Renan M Almeida, PhD
References
Almeida RM. A critical overview of homeopathy. Ann Intern Med. 2003
Oct 21; 139(8).
Jacobs et al. Treatment of acute childhood diarrhea with homeopathic
medicine. Pediatrics 93(5) 1994 719-725
Jonas W. A critical overview of homeopathy. Ann Intern Med. 2003 Oct
21;139(8).
Vickers AJ. Clinical trials of homeopathy and placebo: analysis of a
scientific debate. J Altern Complement Med. 2000 Feb 6(1):49-56.
*****
Prof Renan Moritz Varnier R Almeida, PhD
Coppe - Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
Program of Biomedical Engineering
Caixa Postal 68510 Cidade Universitaria
tel (021) 25628583
Rio de Janeiro RJ 21945-970 Brazil
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